Photo Credit: ATHIT PERAWONGMETHA/REUTERS © 2023 Farok J. Contractor, Distinguished Professor, Rutgers Business School RECENTLY, THERE HAS BEEN A PROLIFERATION of wishful-thinking posts predicting the imminent decline of the US dollar as a universal currency, further stating that its fate is to be replaced by the Chinese yuan, the Indian rupee, or some other currency. Pundits … Continue reading Premature Schadenfreude Directed at the US Dollar
© 2018, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School Xinhua, China’s leading official news agency, conducted a 30-minute interview with me on June 18, 2018. The video clips and articles are available at the links below. Links to Xinhua Videos (English) ‒ June 18, 2018: These brief clips show only a fraction of my 30-minute interview … Continue reading The US-China Trade Spat: My Interview with Xinhua – June 18, 2018
© 2016 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School Note: A version of this article was also published on The Conversation as How the G20 can ensure the marvelous gains from globalization aren't lost. What do summits such as the G20 accomplish? Posing for pictures after their summit, the leaders of the G20, a mixed bag of … Continue reading The G20 Summit in China: An Annual “Talking Shop”? Or a Potential Bedrock of Global Civilization?
© 2015 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University Governor of the People’s Bank of China (China’s central bank) since 2002 and a cautious and methodical bureaucrat, Zhou is the essence of his country’s Mandarin class: canny and understated, but relentless in his objective to elevate China’s economy and currency to elite status. Under Zhou’s watch, China’s exports … Continue reading IMF Elevates Yuan to Elite Currency Status: So what?
© 2015 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University Permission to Reproduce: A version of this post was published as “The Chinese prefer investing overseas; dummy companies may ease transfers and devalue renminbi” by YaleGlobal Online, September 10, 2015; it was the number-one story in a Google search for “China FDI” that day and is also available as a podcast. The global panic … Continue reading Capital Outflows from China and the Hidden Story in China’s FDI Statistics
© 2015 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University The business press has been excitedly predicting the day when the Chinese economy will surpass that of the US in size. Just when this will happen has been a matter for debate—estimates have ranged from 2016 to 2025. In order to compare a nation’s economic size to that of … Continue reading Is China set to become the world’s largest economy in 2015?
© 2014 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University Introduction to my May 8, 2014 YaleGlobal Online article: “Renminbi Undervalued? Think Again” The exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese Renminbi Yuan (RMB) is of crucial importance to both the American and Chinese economies since the bilateral trade between the two nations (imports plus exports) is nearing … Continue reading Whither the Chinese Yuan? Is the RMB Still Undervalued?
© 2014 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University Since the year 2000, the US has suffered a horrendous merchandise trade deficit against China, adding up to $2,947 billion over the 14-year period. This means that China has accumulated nearly $3 trillion surplus dollars—much of which they “kindly” reinvested in US assets, notably US Treasury debt. … Continue reading Learning from the History of Globalization
© 2014 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University When a company goes abroad, it faces the extra hurdle of unfamiliarity with the local market, its culture, its regulations, and its institutions. Sometimes, the national origin of the firm is looked down on. An example is the skepticism and mild hostility toward Chinese products in some … Continue reading Multinationals Based in Emerging Markets: The Sources of Their Competitive Advantage
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