The US-China Trade Spat: How the Public, Media, and Politicians Can Be Deceived by Data

© 2018, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School   Trade Statistics Can Be Less Than Half the China Story Looking at trade statistics alone is misleading because they lack overall context. The $337 billion US deficit with China in 2017 sounds scary. But a review of other economic factors provides insight into the larger picture. 1. … Continue reading The US-China Trade Spat: How the Public, Media, and Politicians Can Be Deceived by Data

WWMS? (What Would Milton Say?)

© 2018, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School The current debate about trade with China sparked by the Trump administration is uncannily reminiscent of the 1970s, when Japanese companies were deemed a threat to the United States. Phrases such as “Japanese invasion” were used by frightened journalists and fear-mongering politicians. The threat from Japanese imports … Continue reading WWMS? (What Would Milton Say?)

TEN QUICK FACTS ABOUT US TRADE: Deficits, Dumping, and Discords

© 2018, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School Acting on his campaign rhetoric that China is “raping our country,”[1] Don Trump recently announced a 25 percent tariff on steel, 10 percent on aluminum, 30 percent on solar panels, and 20–50 percent on washing machines—products he alleged are being “dumped” by the Chinese[2]—and threatened a “trade … Continue reading TEN QUICK FACTS ABOUT US TRADE: Deficits, Dumping, and Discords

India Jumps 30 Places Higher in World Bank Rankings: Update on “Thousands of Hindu Gods – Made in China”

© 2017, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School This is an update to my September 7, 2017 post, in which I described seven reasons why India’s manufacturing competitiveness still lags behind China’s — but also how the Modi government is taking steps to alleviate the bottlenecks. (See reader comments in the original post.) Click for PDF of … Continue reading India Jumps 30 Places Higher in World Bank Rankings: Update on “Thousands of Hindu Gods – Made in China”

Thousands of Hindu Gods – Made in China: Seven Bottlenecks to Indian Manufacturing

NOTE: THIS POST WAS UPDATED ON NOVEMBER 13, 2017. A version of the original post also appeared as an article on YaleGlobal Online October 24, 2017 as  Made in China: Millions of Hindu Gods. An embarrassing tale about India’s manufacturing competitiveness. But there is hope. © 2017, Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School Images of Deities … Continue reading Thousands of Hindu Gods – Made in China: Seven Bottlenecks to Indian Manufacturing

What’s at Stake in China-US Relations? An Estimate of Jobs and Money Involved in the Bilateral Economic Tie

© 2017 Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School NOTES ABOUT THIS POST:  •  This is an updated version of my January 15, 2017 post.  •  A version of this post was also published by Rutgers Business Review.  Recommended Citation: Contractor, Farok J. What is at stake in China-US relations? an estimate of jobs and money involved in the … Continue reading What’s at Stake in China-US Relations? An Estimate of Jobs and Money Involved in the Bilateral Economic Tie

What’s at Stake in China-US Relations? Job and Money Calculations Under Various (Trumpian) Scenarios

© 2017 Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School This post was updated on March 10, 2017 as What’s at Stake in China-US Relations? An Estimate of Jobs and Money Involved in the Bilateral Economic Tie—click to be automatically redirected. A shorter version was published as an article on YaleGlobal Online February 28, 2017, as  Disrupting US-China Relations Will Incur … Continue reading What’s at Stake in China-US Relations? Job and Money Calculations Under Various (Trumpian) Scenarios

The G20 Summit in China: An Annual “Talking Shop”? Or a Potential Bedrock of Global Civilization?

© 2016 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School Note: A version of this article was also published on The Conversation as How the G20 can ensure the marvelous gains from globalization aren't lost. What do summits such as the G20 accomplish? Posing for pictures after their summit, the leaders of the G20, a mixed bag of … Continue reading The G20 Summit in China: An Annual “Talking Shop”? Or a Potential Bedrock of Global Civilization?

Update: Is China a “currency manipulator”? Donald Trump says so

© 2016 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers Business School This article is a 2016 update of a post published on November 16, 2015. It has also been published on The Conversation as “Does China manipulate its currency as Donald Trump claims?” on June 13, 2016. Subsequently, it was also picked up by USNews.com on June 22, 2016, as “Does … Continue reading Update: Is China a “currency manipulator”? Donald Trump says so

Is China a “currency manipulator”? Donald Trump says so

© 2015 Prof. Farok J. Contractor, Rutgers University After 20 years, the Chinese government must be used to it—being bashed by US politicians and Congress as a “currency manipulator.” Indeed, the exchange value of the yuan (or renminbi [RMB]) is fixed each morning by its central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), with a … Continue reading Is China a “currency manipulator”? Donald Trump says so